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A
new direction
In 1986, doi moi laid the foundation for Vietnam’s
resurgence. Since then, successive Party Congresses
and plenums have re-affirmed their commitment to opening
up to the world in both words and actions. The collapse
of the USSR in 1991 tested that commitment to the
full. Apart from being Vietnam’s main source
of foreign aid by far, the Soviet bloc was also almost
its only market. Despite this set-back, Vietnam forged
ahead with reform, opening up new markets and contacts
with other countries across the world.
Rapid
progress
The results have been impressive. From being dependent
on donated foreign rice prior to doi moi, Vietnam
sold 2.2 million tonnes abroad in 1994, and is now
the world’s second largest exporter. Coffee
production had dwindled to almost nothing after the
French left. Investment in new plantations during
the nineties reinvigorated the industry and made Vietnam
the largest supplier of high-quality Robusta beans
in the world. The increased production of Arabica
beans is now threatening Brazil’s long-held
first place in coffee production overall. Heavy and
light industry has made huge advances, infrastructure
is developing rapidly and tourism is making a significant
contribution to GDP.
An average 7% growth rate has
raised the standard of living in Vietnam in real terms.
Over sixteen million motorbikes clog the roads each
day, television is ubiquitous, and one in nine people
has a telephone.
Dealing
with poverty
Perhaps Vietnam’s greatest success story since
re-unification is the remarkable reduction in absolute
poverty. From over 50% of families before doi moi,
the figure has fallen steadily to below 15%. The policy
for poverty alleviation has now become one of eradication!
Joining
the international community
At the same time, the country has steadily opened
its doors to the world community. Rapprochement with
the US in 1993 was a watershed in Vietnam’s
international relationships, and opened up access
to loans from the World Bank, the International Monetary
Fund and the Asian Development Bank. Vietnam now trades
across the world, has achieved ‘favoured nation’
status with the US, and is lobbying to enter the World
Trade Organisation.
The
pain of transition
Transition from being a pariah state to integration
within the world community has not been trouble free.
Structural changes in the economy have been painful
for workers, exposure to market fluctuations as subsidies
have been withdrawn has caused much hardship, and
a widening wealth gap has heightened social tensions.
Illicit drugs, HIV/AIDS and organised crime are all
on the increase and are placing a strain on the economy.
Nevertheless, Vietnam’s answer to the problems
of globalisation is further integration, not drawing
back.
Weathering
globalisation
Despite Vietnam’s positive attitude towards
globalisation, it is remarkably free of its excesses.
Though rampant commercialism is evident in its cities
and towns, the fads, fashions and heavy marketing
of the multinational organisations is little in evidence.
Whereas other Asian countries have reached out to
the icons of consumerism, there are no McDonalds or
Starbucks here, and KFC has only a token presence.
Despite easy access to MTV and shops full of CDs and
DVDs of Western pop music, young people seem to prefer
a mixture of home-grown sentimental love songs and
loud, repetitive dance music.
Vietnam’s
Confucian tradition is innately conservative. Although
there is an interest in what happens elsewhere, curiosity
does not indicate a wish to emulate the beliefs, behaviour
or appearance of people in other countries. Unless
there is a major change in the Vietnamese character,
it looks as if the country will reap the benefits
of globalisation, but escape its more pernicious manifestations!
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